Integrated assessment of adaptation options

Coastal mapping

Integrated assessment

A feature of the Pacific EcoAdapt project is the integrated approach to the research which involved bringing together multi-disciplinary teams to assess the whole system - people, ecosystems and economies and how they will be impacted by climate change and benefited by an Ecosystem-based approach to adaptation (EbAEbA Ecosystem-based adaptation - an adaptation approach to climate- and environmental-change which primarily deploys ecosystems and ecosystem functions to mitigate risks from hazards.).

Key findings and recommendations for supporting and embedding integrated approach to EbA in practice

  • The lack of scientific knowledge, the uncertainty associated with climate science and future risks from natural hazards, and the political sensitivities in dealing with climate change should not continue as a barrier to effective adaptation and delay the implementation of robust measures of adaption action to climate change. Our findings show that adaptation interventions could be more effective and successful when the full suite of potential and feasible strategies is evaluated and integrated into the planning process.
  • Identification and assessment of adaptation options for coastal communities require an integrated assessment of climate change impacts on coastal processes, risks to coastal ecosystem condition and services, impacts on human settlements and implications for activities such as coastal agriculture and fisheries. Employment of an integrated approach can support developing a holistic adaptation planning framework that should ensure all assessments and modelling requirements as well as potential adaptive responses and opportunities. Thus, using an integrative approach increases the chance of successful execution of adaptation plans.
  • Model integration such as SD, BN and GIS is useful for conducting long-term risk assessments where there is a high degree of uncertainty with the scenario input parameters, and GIS allows decision-makers to instantly visualise the impacts of various scenarios at various scales (i.e. local, regional, and country). Consequently, an integrated systems approach provides a suitable platform for integrating multidisciplinary research efforts to identify and assess adaptation options to address the adverse impact of climate change.
  • Another important finding is that climate change impacts are the leading factors in coral reefs regime shift. Preserving coral reef ecosystem servicesecosystem services Ecosystem services are the goods and services provided by nature which are experienced as or transformed into benefits for human society. They are generally classed as 'provisioning' (material things that are consumed), 'regulating' (non-material benefits derived from habitat functioning), and 'cultural' (non-material benefits obtained from an experience of nature, including tourism). needs integrated global and local efforts. The coral reefs’ resilience would be threatened severely by 2070 in the absence of adaptation strategies. Tourism and fishing are the most vulnerable services provided by Tanna' coral reefs. Community-based or Kastomkastom Kastom is a pidgin word (Bislama/English) used to refer to traditional culture, including religion, economics, art and magic in Melanesia. The word derives from the Australian English pronunciation of 'custom'. Kastom is mostly not written, only passed down through teachings and stories and includes places, stories, objects and animals and plants.-oriented solutions can foster the resilience of coral reefs.
  • Our research also reveals that Ecosystem-based approaches (EbA) offer multiple benefits and have the potential to integrate adaptation priorities with development processes tackling many issues threatening the most vulnerable countries and communities. Combining all EbA interventions (e.g. forest-based and the marine-based community conservation areas) has great potential to generate the greatest increase in wellbeing.
  • Our research also reveals that Ecosystem-based approaches (EbA) offer multiple benefits and have the potential to integrate adaptation priorities with development processes tackling many issues threatening the most vulnerable countries and communities. Combining all EbA interventions (e.g. forest-based and the marine-based community conservation areas) has great potential to generate the greatest increase in wellbeing.

Our research has also demonstrated that EbA interventions are effective to improve the baseline wellbeing value in all case study locations Vanuatu by either directly improving the integrity of Vanuatu’s

 

Publications and resources related to integrated assessment

The studies outlined below consider EbA from an integrated perspective and involve a mix of a range of dynamic and participatory modelling involving a range of stakeholders including government and community members.

Vanuatu landscape

How ecosystem-based adaptations to climate change influence community wellbeing

Climate change poses significant threats to the wellbeing and livelihoods of people and the ecosystems in many small island states. Adaptation solutions must counteract these threats while also supporting development in vulnerable communities. Suitable adaptation options need to ensure that connections between the social, economic and environmental dimensions of socio-economic systems are defined in a way that can support how decisions are made (and by whom) and how these can impact other parts of these systems.
Coral reef in Vanuatu

Climate change adaptation strategies for coral reef ecosystems

This paper reports on a dynamic modelling framework for ecosystem-based adaptation planning in a SIDSSIDS Small Island Developing States are a distinct group of 38 UN Member States and 20 Non-UN Members/Associate Members of United Nations regional commissions that face unique social, economic and environmental vulnerabilities. island context that is focussed on the assessment of coral reef health and resilience under different climate change scenarios, and the consequential economic and human well-being impacts. Port Resolution, Tanna Island was used as a case study to develop, test and model the fringing coral reef, local community and resultant socio-ecological system.

Estimating nature’s value to Pacific islands

Rural communities in Pacific small island developing states (SIDS), which rely directly and acutely on nature’s goods and services for food and material, face a range of interlinking threats to their management of natural resources. These threats are exacerbated by climate change related risks and occur against the backdrop of rapid social and economic transition.

Mapping long-term coral reef ecosystems regime shifts

Coral reefs are among the most fragile ecosystems that provide essential services to local island communities. It is known that climate change impacts are the leading factors in coral reefs regime shift. Naturally, exploring the characteristics and interactions shaping regime shifts of coral reefs are critical in managing system pressures; enhancing resilience; aiding their regeneration and recovery process, and restoring habitat complexity.
Tourism in Tanna

Adopting a whole of system approach to climate risk in Vanuatu

Understanding climate risk in Vanuatu is critical to the success of the tourism industry. Given the connections between economic, socio-cultural, political, and environmental variables in destinations throughout Vanuatu, assessments of climate risk requires a whole of system approach. Mapping linkages and interactions can help to explore climate risks and impacts and safeguard the industry from exposure and maladaptation.
Port Resolution

Predicting sea-level rise induced coastal erosion in Tanna Island

Anticipated sea level rise in coastal regions is expected to worsen the impact of coastal hazards such as erosion, inundation and flooding from storm surges. Accordingly, the resulting impacts on coastal settlements and infrastructure will be widespread. These impacts are particularly critical in small islands as the settlements and infrastructure are mainly located along coastlines with almost no, or very limited relocation options.

Pacific EcoAdapt